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« MJ – the numbers game (updated 5apr16) | Main | Sandbox – 5apr16 »

03 April 2016


Russ Steele

From my limited research the VR/AR market has four major components:

• Hardware and components
• Content creation and editing
• Distribution platforms
• Middleware and analytics

It is not clear to me from the news article where the Green Screen Institute's focus will be. It could be in all categories. Maybe you can add some insight after the big ERC event.

The Global Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality Market is poised to grow at a CAGR of around 16.7% in the next 5 years to reach approximately $2.95 billion by 2020 according to one marketing report.
Another research firm SuperData has adjusted its initial forecast of $5 billion for virtual reality revenue in 2016 by almost a third, with a swag of $3.7 billion by 2017.

Oculus Rift and HTC Vive have launched devices for $599 and $799, respectively. Sony decided to undercut the competition with the standalone PlayStation VR unit for just $399, which is $200 less than the Oculus Rift, but you still have to buy a PlayStation. Online bundles of Play Station and VR headset are being offered at $499.

Currently, the big money seem to be in VR/AR market reports with prices running from $4000 to $9000 for analysis on where the industry will grow and the impediments providers will have to be overcome for the VR/AR market to flourish.

This article in Business Life lays out some of the challenges that Green Screen Institute will have to address in the VR/AR market.


So George, why did Riskalyze end up in Placer County rather than Nevada County? The ERC has struck me as having just a bit too much in common with Cargo Cults, wanting all that good Cargo that used to land here but not quite being clear on the concept of what it was that motivated the Cargo to arrive in the first place.

Regarding STEM/STEAM, the initial push ages ago was math and science because American K-12 generally sucked at it... but actually excelling in math and science is hard, so let's add applications of math and science, technology and engineering to allow some science and mathematics appreciation being taught in K-12 where the knowledge of all four is paltry. So much the better when it results in a robot that the kiddies assembled to wreak havoc at that Parent's Night. That real engineering and technology require a solid math and science as a precursor has largely been lost in the mix. Now the local push to add the arts into the focus finishes the ignoring of the basic problem... the schools generally fail (and in particular, the majority of Nevada County schools fail) at taking fresh faced Kindergarteners in one end and having young adults walking out 13 years later, proficient in mathematics, science and the rest of the liberal arts ready for advanced study of what ever they may choose at the college of their choice as a freshman.

A huge problem in local education since the early 90's has been a fealty to constructivist education fads, now institutionalized nationwide with the Common Core. County Ed maven (and ERC driver) Holly Hermansen's husband Jon Byerrum was the early champion of whole language and whole/NCTM math in the GVSD as Superintendent, then we had Hermansen pushing its twin sister, the Common Core State Standards (that the states had no say in developing) as it came down the pike early in the Obama administration with all the local ed people saluting the Common Core flag as Hermansen ran it up the flagpole. The key to the door of higher education in science and technology remains mathematics and science, and the CCSS-M's delaying the progression of mathematics in the early grades so that Algebra isn't seen until the 9th grade (if then) just leaves all children behind the curve. The NCTM's denigration of memory and practice, and near elimination of deduction in favor of inductive practices in mathematics education is an unfolding disaster kept hidden, as the diagnostic tools that would alert all to the failure of CCSS, the STAR/API/Similar Schools testing and reporting, were swept out in the first wave.

Methods of math teaching pushed by the NCTM have failed everywhere they've been tried but the true believers keep thinking it's just a matter of everyone getting on board and refining lesson plans. Until it's cleared out, there's not much hope of good math education for all in the USA, California or Nevada County.

George Rebane

Received an extended email from our Designated Reader wherein is contained a lengthy screed from the FUE and faithful partner Frisch against RR, its readers, and yours truly.

The only thing worth mentioning is that my point in including Riskalyze was that ERC's summit is advertised as a regional promotion not limited to Nevada County. Apparently my critics didn't pick that up. Even though the newly labeled GSI is focused on the virtual reality sector, they would be well served to include Riskalyze management (not me) since the type of enterprise and problems of starting such a business would be identical with expertise the GSI intends to provide. But again, I would not expect any progressive to come close to understanding such considerations, even if they worked at something cynically sporting 'Business' in its name.

Gregory 1117am - Excellent question Mr Goodknight. The answer to that is an important one, especially to high-tech businesses that consider locating in Nevada County. I don't want to speak for Riskalyze on this, but recommend that Jon Gregory call Aaron Klein for that information. And thanks for again expanding on STEM education issues here and elsewhere.


"The answer to me is clear: when you are a racist, homophobic, bigoted, conspiracy theory driven, enabler of the politics of personal destruction who does not even have the character to be consistent in your own political views when it affects something you have an ideological objection to ... you are a friggin’ joke."

It appears Frisch isn't even aware when he's being self referential.

I do have high tech friends in the area and they are concerned about the math education their kids are getting in Nevada County schools but not as concerned as they need to be.


" And thanks for again expanding on STEM education issues here and elsewhere."

Everyone's welcome, of course, but my argument remains that STEM dilutes the real emphasis which really should just be MATH. At least in K-8, the problem isn't STEM, it's reading, science appreciation (math at and above Algebra is the language of the real physical sciences) and arithmetic with a fluency of the arithmetic of fractions, the essential key readiness for Algebra as was until very recently, expected for students for students being promoted out of the 7th grade at or above grade level.

If you want your child to graduate from NUHS, BRHS or even Ghidotti able to hold their own at UC Berkeley, Stanford, CalTech, Harvard, MIT, Columbia, Cornell, Yale or even USC in any math based course of study, keep them on a solid math track. Don't fall for the "we're more rigorous" false claim of the Common Core gang.

The focus needs to be Math. Not STEM, not STEAM, if you want to have a chance at success in science, engineering, math and even biology nowadays. Even if you, as a parent, wish your child to follow you in the arts and languages, they deserve, in what amounts to a real social justice, to have a chance at the other worlds that a real math competence can lead your child to, to have the choice to have a life in the physical and mathematical sciences even if they choose a different path.

Even the Archangel Gabriel agrees!
(clip is from the movie Prophesy, a must see for Walken fans).

George Boardman

"Ready, fire, aim." You can be concise when you want to be.


Regarding today's update, UC Berkeley did an end around the tuition freeze using a loophole regarding "professional degrees", as opposed to academic degrees.

They had good demand for Master of Science in Electrical Engineering candidates who didn't want to earn a PhD... so, in order to make a bundle of money, they apparently reduced the number of MSEE students accepted... and created out of thin air a brand new degree they declared to be non-academic... the Masters of Engineering in various flavors and charged a boatload of money for it. Something like triple what an MSEE student would have expected to pay and, in a real bait and switch, some accepted expecting the old fee structure of about $16k and ended up having to pay over $50k.

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