Covid-19 – A lifesaver from China? (updated 9dec20)

George Rebane

Yes, C19 has made us and the world’s other countries do terrible things to our economies, but being an extraordinary killer it ain’t.  As I explained in ‘Mismanaging Covid-19 …’, all that the virus has done is substituted its own grim reaper for the usual ones that work on the various age groups with their usual comorbidities.  Of course, the older people who are already scheduled to die of some malady they are now fighting, or soon will be fighting, are vulnerable to death from some cause.  Then along comes C19 and pre-empts the other causes, but in the process does not add to the nation’s mortality counts.

Well, that’s not exactly true.  Actually, C19 is decreasing the death rate of the nation when we examine CDC published data on deaths in America over the years. (more here)  Check the plot below.

The 2020 death count was extrapolated from 2,033,736 total deaths by 24 September 2020.  The daily average to that date of 7,588 deaths times 365 days gives this year’s total of 2,769,620.  (Say, that our end of year spike is higher than the computed average, and the mortality curve just keeps following the set trend.  Then the point made here still holds regarding the overall mortality impact of C19.)

So why are deaths going down in 2020, the year of our historic pandemic, during which people are running around screaming insane warnings, locking everything down, keeping immune kids from being educated, and destroying millions of small businesses?  Easy answer – gross ignorance and evil political agendas.

Some other factors are contributing to lowering the death rate include the decrease in people seeking medical aid from healthcare professionals as they hunker down and try to protect themselves from C19 infections.  According to government figures (as reported here many times) medical mistakes kill over 250,000 Americans year-in year-out.  It’s one of our leading causes of death, so if you stay out of hospitals and clinics, and don’t let them get their hands on you, there’s a better chance that they won’t getcha.  And more people will keep living at the end of the year.

The bottom line of my screed is that we have been fed wagon loads of bullshit about this pandemic, its morbidity and mortality, its virulence, effective therapeutics, public response policies, etc during the past year.  And all we’ve managed to do is cripple our economy, ruin countless lives, and abandon our freedoms to power hungry politicians, for what?  To save lives?  Not really.  Now what are you going to do about it?

[8dec20 update] It appears that CDC does publish various versions of data on the same topics.  I received an appreciated email from a reader who makes this point clear with CDC data that supports (calls out?) my above comment about the trendline being maintained even with an appropriate population-relative increase in the 2020 deathcount.

[9dec20 update]  The Democrats' idiots delight continues in Sacramento in coming up with insane and insaner response policies to the pandemic.  Now even some members of the Lockdown Luminaries are beginning to evince doubt in both their policies and the tortured 'logic' that has given rise to them over the past months.  Here's 'I'm Not Sure We Know What We're Doing,' Says a Newly Skeptical California Lockdown Advocate that indicates against all hope that there is a ray of sanity that might be leaking into the deep dark depths of Gavin's mind.

Comments

[L]

So, if the 6% rate of actual WuFlu fatalities (independent of co-morbidities) is correct, the toll is about 15k or about half the annual flu harvest.

Hardly seems a good reason to destroy the best economy in decades...

[Bill Tozer]

One man's opinion.

Another Look at the Big Picture

https://healthy-skeptic.com/2020/12/06/another-look-at-the-big-picture/
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The current joke going around is that the goverment shut us down and made us isolate from each other. Now the government is shutting us down again because we did not develop herd immunity and are unprotected now because of the previous shutdowns. Oh my.

[Scott O]

L 7:28 - "Hardly seems a good reason to destroy the best economy in decades..."
Helped bigly to get rid of Trump.
There were a lot of folks praying for the economy to tank just for that reason before CV even came along. Just one example:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2018/06/09/maher_im_hoping_for_a_crashing_economy_so_we_can_get_rid_of_trump_bring_on_the_recession.html#!
Of course it will hurt the poor and POC the worst.
So what. I'm rich and I want to get rid of Trump.
The party of compassion.
It actually is killing the lower middle class small businesses.
But Amazon is doing great and Bezos got his 'team' installed and ready for action at the White House.
You leftys are the biggest joke. So friggin stupid - you just helped elect the very people you claim you're against.

[D]

Yes, the Wuhan Kung Flu conspiracy is a worldwide one perpetrated by Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and all the other countries of the world to destroy the US economy.

QAnon/Trump told me to say that.

I didn't see any mention of the fact that with everyone social distancing and masking up, the infection rate of all communicable diseases might be lower resulting in less morbidity.

[Scott O]

Duh - "I didn't see any mention of the fact..."
Fact?
What 'fact'?
Oh - "...might be lower..."
There's only around 10 trillion to the nth power 'facts' of what 'might' be.
And we didn't mention any of them.
How about that.
Duh is so cute when he tries to be an adult.
Actually trying to protect against all communicable diseases leads to the population becoming vulnerable to even worse pandemics.
Science told me that.

[L]

Keep looking for some sign that the lefties that hang here have actually bothered to read this essay. What I see mostly is confirmation that they can't be bothered with facts, their minds are made up. The failure is a decision to remain scared shitless of the bogey man...