George Rebane
Rebane Doctrine: Stingers and Javelins are the secret sauce of the new world order. What’s happening in Ukraine is proof of what we should be doing for Taiwan – shipping them vast quantities of Javelins and Stingers to enable them to thwart a D-day-like invasion by Red China on their shores. These weapons demonstrate that the old days of using massive slowly moving war machines no longer gives advantage to the aggressor against highly mobile light cavalry units armed with Stingers and Javelins. A wise administration would have already started supplying Taiwan with large quantities of sub-rosa shipments of these weapons, and then informing Beijing, again sub-rosa, of that accomplishment so that no face needs be lost in the international forum. Download video here - Download VIDEO-2022-04-23-22-14-35
The same can be said for highly mobile, relatively inexpensive shore-to-ship missiles that will quickly reduce both carrier strike groups and amphibious assault groups to smoldering wrecks. The whole scenario of how large nations project power will have to be rethought. And we haven't even started talking about hypersonics yet. The only foreseeable defense for such missile attacks is with directed-energy weapons which are not yet operational, and for which the sensor and fire control problems have yet to be solved.
And now we are getting back-channel news (reported here by The Blaze) that intelligence sources state Chinese preparations for an imminent Taiwan invasion are underway.
" A wise administration would have already started supplying Taiwan with large quantities of sub-rosa shipments of these weapons,"
A wise administration might also reconsider the gigantic investments in CVBGs, although that argument has gone on for years.
Like discussed before, I don't doubt that a bunch of smart colonels are watching Ukraine closely as it's a laboratory for roughly equivalent and modern opposing forces. Seeing as how the power appears to be on in Kiev/Kyiv, it's not really quite a war, but the West appears happy to fight to the last Ukrainian and to steadfastly avoid diplomatic approaches.
It's interesting to consider how much of US land doctrine is built around blowing up Third World countries for no good reason at this point, maybe it was a malinvestment.
I've thought for years that loading up on defensive measure makes a lot of sense. Not just anti-aircraft/tank measures but also civil defense ala the Swiss. Basically make it impossible for your country to be attacked. Given the US tendency to forward base offensive weapons, it would probably take a generational change in attitude. To be fair, the USSR/Russia have always been heavily invested in the best-defense-is-a-good-offense approach. That's a big reason, aside from outright quality, that Barbarossa was so successful.
Posted by: scenes | 29 May 2022 at 07:05 AM
scenes Doctrine: Stingers and Javelins are the secret sauce of the new world order if they are homegrown.
While the defense seems to be in the ascendancy currently, at least against seizing and holding territory, a properly independent state can produce it's own defensive technology.
Being a vassal of the United States arms production industry and it's meddling political class hardly counts as sovereign.
Posted by: scenes | 30 May 2022 at 07:10 AM
Being a vassal of the United States arms production industry and it's meddling political class hardly counts as sovereign.
👍
Posted by: 🐠 | 30 May 2022 at 07:25 AM