Singularity Signposts – another step nearer

George Rebane

The progress toward the Singularity is producing some good and bad news.  The bad news is that the newer Large Language Models are taking ever more eye-popping resources in the hardware – server farms, data storage, electric power to operate, … - and just the cost of training the new LLMs which now may take months.  The other problem is that we are running out of stored data on which the LLMs munch to develop their smarts. (more here)

The good news is that the new generative AI LLMs are taking over more are more functional areas in corporate environments – e.g. IT functions such as customer service, procurement, human resources and even software development.  Under the high level supervision of one human, an AI can replace scores of other humans in an ever increasing number of jobs. (more here) 

And an example of one function is how an AI can ‘read’ a collection of information about a subject area and produce a totally realistic and relevant conversation between two ‘people’ analyzing the contents of the information and even derive deeper meanings from the input material.  To illustrate this capability, my son-in-law used some new AI published by Google to create a podcast-like conversation (here) about yours truly from having read only my RR posts from the beginning of 2024.  I was blown away by not only its apparent authenticity (yes, they made a couple minor mistakes), but also by the natural sounding and appropriate interstitial phrases and observations that were part of the conversation by the two virtual podcasters.  Without looking behind the curtain, this conversation would fool (almost?) everyone as being between two actual humans.  

Comments

[Paul Emery]

George

You write "AI can replace scores of other humans in an ever increasing number of jobs."

Can you explain to me what is good about that?

[George Rebane]

PaulE 749pm - The same benefit humanity got when the steam shovel replaced thousands of men moving dirt with handheld shovels, and the printing press put hundreds of scribes out of work.

[Paul Emery]

George

Did you read this article in the WSJ? That is of course from a Conservative source.

Economists Say Inflation, Deficits Will Be Higher Under Trump Than Harris
In WSJ survey, economists see Donald Trump’s plans as more inflationary by a larger margin than in July when President Biden was on the ticket.

"Of the 50 economists who responded to the survey’s question on inflation, 68% said prices would rise faster under Trump than under Harris. "

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/economists-say-inflation-deficits-will-be-higher-under-trump-than-harris-0365588e?mod=article_inline

[Barry Pruett]

Yeah. When the car was invented, the buggy whip guy went out of business. It is market evolution.

[Don Bessee]

WOW just like the 51 intel officials swearing that the crack heads laptop was russian disinfo, the only connection to the ruskies was the hookers were russian. Sad old man stikes again ROFLOL

;-)

[Scott O]

About the added need for juice to run AI:

"Google inks nuclear deal for next-generation reactors"
https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/15/24270645/google-nuclear-energy-deal-small-modular-reactor-kairos

That's just one example. I'm seeing that other companies are having to look past the local utilities for their anticipated future needs.

Concerning the need for data to crunch for AI learning:

I've been notified 3 times now in the last few years by financial and credit info companies that all of my personal info has been "compromised".
An article I read a few months ago posited that 80 to 90 percent of American adults are in the same boat. And the author of the article felt that the CCP is behind most of it. Not to try to set up some kind of financial scam or to wreck everyone's credit - that would be small potatoes - but to have a giant data base of info to help train their AI in the ways of understanding, predicting, and controlling citizens behaviors. And the author further stated that "connected" motor vehicles and other internet connected commercial operations of all types would be a further gold mine of data to blend in.
All that stuff in the cloud? You think it's secure?
I know they claim that the new gen of super computers will be able to offer much higher levels of encryption, but where there is a will, there is a way.

[fish]

George

Did you read this article in the WSJ? That is of course from a Conservative source.

Economists Say Inflation, Deficits Will Be Higher Under Trump Than Harris
In WSJ survey, economists see Donald Trump’s plans as more inflationary by a larger margin than in July when President Biden was on the ticket.

"Of the 50 economists who responded to the survey’s question on inflation, 68% said prices would rise faster under Trump than under Harris. "

Shorter Weez: Yeah George.....never mind all that AI folderol.....it's time to talk about my favorite subject!

Oh Weez.....I'm so glad the Tangerine Tornado came on to the political scene to give your life meaning again!

[Scott O]

To follow on to my other post:
"But right now, Polestar has bigger worries than expanding its charging options. Should proposed new rules banning Chinese connected-car software and hardware go into effect, they would effectively ban the automaker from the US market, the company says, including the EVs it builds in South Carolina."
Hilarious - the feds don't want the CCP to collect your info - that's our govt's job! Then the CCP can hack our govt's data base and get it anyway.
Once we go to full digital currency, everything you do and everywhere you go will be monitored by the govt.
An AI entity will emerge to control everything.
Just for fun - let's call it Big Brother.
https://arstechnica.com/cars/2024/10/ban-on-chinese-tech-so-broad-us-made-cars-would-be-blocked-polestar-says/

[George Rebane]

PaulE 901pm - I think you may not have understood the subject of my post.

[Gregory]

"Did you read this article in the WSJ? That is of course from a Conservative source."

Punch, you've been informed of this numerous times... there's two sides to the WSJ... the news side and the editorial side.

The news side, the source of your breathless report, isn't conservative.

[Paul Emery]

Are you saying Gregory that their report on the opinion of the 50 economists who responded to the survey’s question on inflation after raising tariffs is not accurate?

[Gregory]

Paul, what I wrote was "The news side, the source of your breathless report, isn't conservative".

[The Estonian Fox]

PE at 01:52 PM.

These were OPINIONS, not facts. They were hypothesized by ECONOMISTS, a group well-known for never performing a scientific experiment in the real world, with a hypothesis, data collection, then conclusion, hopefully proving their hypothesis, which never happens.

They bloviate even more than Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, since there are more of them. Yeah, hard to believe.

So are you saying that Mr. Trump has the intelligence-equivalent of 50 economists? I didn't know that you were that much of a fan of Mr. Trump. Quite a revelation to those of us on RR.

[Paul Emery]

Gregory

.

So do you believe that raising the tariffs on foreign imports, as Trump claims he will do will nor increase inflation?

[Gregory]

Punch, I believe you grabbed a bit of info you had no ability to evaluate and tried to sell it Youat the RR as "conservative", something they would believe.

[Scott O]

Paul - take it to the sandbox.

[Don Bessee]

Looks like the data gurus dont want to have egg on their faces and are acknowledging whats really happening, including the surge in republican low propensity voters who dont vote regularly showing up in droves especially in swing states. SWEET cnn, msnbc and nbc data guy agreeing now -

CNN data guru details 'signs' pointing to Trump victory: If he wins it 'will have been obvious'
'You can’t say you weren’t warned,' Enten told viewers who may not be anticipating a Trump victory next week

https://www.foxnews.com/media/cnn-data-guru-signs-pointing-trump-victory-wins-obvious

;-)

[Don Bessee]

Looks like the data gurus dont want to have egg on their faces and are acknowledging whats really happening, including the surge in republican low propensity voters who dont vote regularly showing up in droves especially in swing states. SWEET cnn, msnbc and nbc data guy agreeing now -

CNN data guru details 'signs' pointing to Trump victory: If he wins it 'will have been obvious'
'You can’t say you weren’t warned,' Enten told viewers who may not be anticipating a Trump victory next week

https://www.foxnews.com/media/cnn-data-guru-signs-pointing-trump-victory-wins-obvious

;-)

[Don Bessee]

Did not see that one coming -

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/30/liberal-icon-naomi-wolf-endorses-trump-hes-being-more-inclusive/

;-)

[showmekid]

Paul at Oct 30....

Does the opinion of 50 economists equal the opinion of 50 intell officers????

[fish]

Posted by: showmekid | 02 November 2024 at 04:03 PM

Does the opinion of 50 economists equal the opinion of 50 intell officers????

4 out of 5 dentists agree that it does!