Rebane's Ruminations

Voter Fraud 3.0 … until the fat lady sings

George Rebane

President Trump’s Executive Order #13848 may be the real bombshell of this election as it is brought to light in the Foreign Policy section of the White House website.  It is titled ‘Notice on Continuation of the National Emergency With Respect To Foreign Interference In or Undermining Public Confidence In U.S. Elections’ (here)  The enforcement of this EO will make more people culpable for aiding and abetting foreign interference to undermine public confidence in the 3nov20 election than we can count.  What I find intriguing is that this EO was explicitly continued on 10 September 2020.  (H/T to two RR readers)

Here is what one blogger, a Mr Rip McIntosh, who soberly advises his readers to check out this fairly breathless commentary on the potential impacts of EO #13848 before swallowing it hook/line/sinker – I advise RR readers to do the same and inform all of us if/where they may see this issue reported.

From Fox News to …? (updated 14nov20)

George Rebane

OK boys and girls, things have gotten rotten in the Murdoch media empire.  I’ve been pissing and moaning about Fox News for months now (always did have my gimlet eye trained on them) as their news coverage and copy kept drifting, now visibly sliding, toward lamestream journalism.  Their ‘fair, balanced, and unafraid’ has always brought out a chuckle in me and mine, but today the ‘unafraid’ part is an out-and-out farce – they are very afraid of straying too far from the progressive narrative.  (As I’ve noted many times before, ‘fair’ and ‘balanced’ has always been a fool’s errand that only convinces the naïfs.)  For lack of a better target, I blame the entire transformation on Rupert’s liberal son Lachlan now in charge of their news outlets.  The even more liberal son James has already departed Fox because it still wouldn’t follow the leftwing narrative well enough, especially the coverage and promotion of climate change (i.e. preventable manmade global warming).  So now the cat is out of the bag.  Once daddy left the business to his sons, things immediately started listing to port.

FN’s and FB’s stalwarts like Bret Baier and Neil Cavuto have already tossed in the towel and joined their liberal colleague Chris Wallace and former colleague Shepard Smith in how they select and wordsmith their news reports and interviews – today the prematurely departed Smith would feel very much at home at FN.  But the real canaries in the Murdoch media mine are conservative stalwarts like Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity, and Laura Ingraham (and maybe even Jesse Watters).  If any of them start leaving FN, then that network’s turn to the dark side is a done deal.

It would be interesting to see where such conservative commentarians would take their established brands.  Newsmax is an obvious destination.  And there are more conservative streaming news outlets available like Glenn Beck and Bill O’Reilly’s new homes that would get a tremendous viewership boost if they garnered any of FN’s big three.  And now we’re starting to hear rumors that a former president Donald Trump may again be in the business of starting his own news network or buying into an existing one and turning it into Trump TV (more here).

To all this I will add our country’s losing fight with the First Amendment as the forces of darkness continue to throttle free speech and religious liberties.  A significant telltale about the ‘progress’ of progressives in this arena was SCOTUS Justice Alito’s recent speech to the Federalist Society on these topics of America’s freedoms. (more here, here, here, and here)

Exciting times ahead as the nation starts its foreplay with socialism after Biden’s inauguration.  I’m hoping that our intrepid RR readers, who seem to know all that’s happening on the web, will keep the rest of us informed as to the best post-Fox destinations on cable or online.

[14nov20 update]  Bill Whittle at Instapundit.com delivers the first of a multi-part series (here) on the downfall of America’s media and the particulars of how the election was impacted by their fake news and daily streams of lies.  (H/T to reader)

Following the science, really? (updated 12nov20)

George Rebane

[This is the updated transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 11 November 2020.]

‘We follow the science’ has been heard across the land for some months now, mostly from shady politicians, but also from politicians of all shades.  This pompous and gratuitous claim is put out primarily to shut off further debate about whatever issue that is sheltered under the science umbrella.  The politician or media talking head knows that his audience is woefully unprepared to understand, let alone contest, any proposition so couched.

The effectiveness of this kind of communication hinges on the level of numeracy enjoyed by our population at large.  Numeracy is the mathematical partner of literacy.  Numeracy is the analog of literacy - communication by letters and words - in the sense that the numerate person can understand every day issues involving arithmetic calculation, basic logic, chance, utility, elements of finance, graphical presentation of information, the scientific process, and ability to think critically.  As a person does not have to be a professional wordsmith to be literate, then also a person need not be a professional in the mathematically based disciplines to be considered numerate.  Numeracy is just another arrow, albeit a very important one, that an educated person has in his quiver.  Innumeracy, like illiteracy, is the converse of having such tools at your disposal.

Adult innumeracy is the longstanding and silent scourge of our country and of our times as confirmed by longitudinal surveys done by the Dept of Education.  Americans are overwhelmingly innumerate, with about 1 out of 20 of us having the skills of a numerate layman.  In a liberal democracy the importance of voter numeracy is based on a simple truth – ALL social issues in our community and across the land are significant only because of their descriptive numbers.  And without the ability to process those numbers, we really don’t understand the issue and can only emote about it.

Voter Fraud 2.0 … until the fat lady sings (updated 15nov20)

George Rebane

To describe what is going on with this election as hanky-panky is to diminish what appears as the first verifiable assault on the seminal institution that we use to maintain our democratic republic – the right and practice of franchised citizens to regularly impact the governance of their country.

Evidence is pouring in from all quarters about voter fraud, evidence that has been filed by poll workers, poll watchers, and witnesses who have provided sworn affidavits and statements – punishable as perjury if falsified – of a wide spectrum of illegal and criminal activities taking place at polling places and vote counting centers.  Enough of this has been happening to cause the DoJ to order all US attorneys across the land to begin investigating these allegations.

Last night on FN Tucker Carlson went through a litany of some of the evidence that the US attorneys will be looking at (here).  (Odd that FN has pulled this commentary from its site.)  You don’t have to be a fan of Carlson to note the factual content of his commentary, confirm it yourself, and compare it with what you’ve seen on the lamestream.  An important part of the data that is now a matter of record is the history of grossly inaccurate polling results with which the country has been blanketed in the weeks leading up to the election.

It turns out that the polls across the board were grossly wrong in favor of Joe Biden.  The more important impact of such erroneous polling was how they influenced the vote.  University of Michigan (here) and McGill University (here) have done studies of this which delineate how polls favoring this or lambasting that affect voter attitudes.  In America our polls were off, sometimes hundreds of percents and of opposite polarity, for electoral contests ranging from the president to the states’ down-ticket candidates and issues.  And for some odd reason, they were overwhelmingly in error toward the Left.  This was similar to the late-discovered ballots and mail-ins arriving at vote counting centers that defied voting demographics, voting history, and elementary statistics in their one-sidedness (more here and here).  And we haven’t yet come to the vote changing software (here) that people have alleged was used (and exposed unintentionally on CNN (here) where Trump’s vote count goes down the precise amount that Biden’s went up before the cutaway from the scene).

All the Dems and lamestream outlets are ostracizing the closer examination of this election's fraud, claiming that, no matter if true, none of what has been reported is enough to change the election's outcome.  That in itself may well be false because the actual validations and recounts have not been completed.  But the logic of the admonition itself is grossly faulty, for it assumes that all the fraud discovered to date is all that there is.  Nothing could be further from the truth.  (For the technically inclined, consider the individual allegations as a sequence of events in a minimally known process.  Then compute the probability that the process ended with its most recent event.  To help you do this Download TN2011-1_DiscreteEventR-Gprobs )

The greater impact of this on our institutions and ultimately on Americans’ trust in their country’s electoral processes is summarized by Victor Davis Hanson (here).  The bottom line is that we are done as a liberal democracy once the people no longer believe in elections or that their legal votes matter.

[11nov20 update] There is now a chorus of commentators on various media outlets (yes, even some liberal ones) who correctly opine about completing the investigations of the numerous reported election irregularities and alleged voter fraud around the country.  What our Left predictably pooh-poohs as rightwing sour grapes, and tells to “suck it up” and get on with it will not work in the country’s longer-term polity.  We have lost faith in the election process as it now stands.  There are at least half of us in America who want the reported incidents of malfeasance resolved, one way or the other, before trust is restored in our elections.  A democratic republic cannot continue to function under liberal governance once its elections are seen by a major fraction of its citizenry as corrupt and corruptible.  The natural progression of such a state of affairs is to a strong-arm autocracy.

The truth of the matter, not considered by today’s light thinkers, is that the Left will be equally put out again when they lose another major election.  I say ‘again’ because they were maximally put out for years after Hillary lost in 2016, and showed the country how they could disrupt, not only the duly elected administration, but also the rest of the federal government.  These progressives and their militant radicals not only rejected the legitimacy of the election, they also rejected the findings of the many subsequently launched investigations that failed to find their claimed faults – and they hold these beliefs to this day.  For them, the Republicans remain guilty as alleged.

So yes, we have to let Team Trump and the other involved federal and state level investigative agencies complete the process to either sanitize the recent election, or declare that it was not soiled in the first place.  At that time we’ll all have to suck it up, bid good-bye to Donald Trump, and accept Joe Biden as our new fearless leader (while continuing to keep a gimlet eye on the sumbich until his influence peddling family affairs are resolved AND he renounces the emerging communist wing of the Democratic Party).

[15nov20 update]  Now we have a fairly complete recounting of the provenance of Hammer/Scorecard and how it came to be applied to the current election.  The testimony is "according to whistleblower Dennis Montgomery, who was granted immunity by the DoJ and the FBI for exposing illegal US domestic surveillance."  (H/T to reader and more here)

Voter Fraud … until the fat lady sings (updated 9nov20)

George Rebane

'We don't want to go where you want to take us.' - the fundamental reason for no possibility of common ground.

The uncensored part of the web is buzzing about developing evidence on how the Trump vote scorecard got hammered during the past week.  Actually, a whistleblower has come forward who describes the use of two data manipulation programs, Hammer and Scorecard, that have been used internationally and were used to modify data during transmission from the voting precincts to the central vote collecting servers.  This cleverly designed software modifies data on the fly during transmission so that the process is essentially undetectable under normal circumstances.  FB’s Lou Dobbs with Flynn lawyer Sydney Powell and Tom Fitton of Judicial Watch broke the story here.

Here are some initial factors that bear on the entire investigation into what may turn out to be the largest national voter fraud case in history.  A lot is developing.

1. Statistically impossible tranches of uncounted votes, ALL favoring Biden, turned up during the week to make Trump’s lead vanish. I pointed out early that this was statistically impossible; now this argument is being picked on the national conservative media.  The lamestream, of course, continues to be silent.
2. The DoJ and FBI have finally become involved in these investigations.
3. The continued silence of the Republican Party on the matter is puzzling. The most influential sites of potential voter fraud are in the battleground states – Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan – all of which have both of their legislative houses controlled by Republicans.  These legislatures have the power to investigate and determine the make-up of the electors who will represent the states in the Electoral College.
4. The Hammer and Scorecard whistleblower has been identified and will aid in the investigation. Apparently the vote transmission logs exist for the node-to-node data pathways, and they can be forensically examined by our intelligence services for any hanky-panky that the vote counts may have suffered in transmission.

Our readers will, of course, look into this and also provide reports which I’ll summarize here.  

[Update] That all such discoveries as Hammer and Scorecard may have no effect on the conduct of national affairs is to me very likely, given, say, the impact of three major issues – 1) the Joe Biden video of firing the Burisma investigator, 2) the total denial and burial of the Hunter Biden influence peddling emails, and 3) the months-long allegations of C19 response mismanagement by Trump.  The proper (and historical) treatment of any one of these by our Fourth Estate would have instantly, and I do mean instantly, derailed the Harris/Biden campaign.

Our nation ignoring the clear video evidence of Joe admitting and bragging about how he got the Ukrainian prosecutor investigating the Burisma corruption scandal fired, while son Hunter sat on the company’s board collecting millions, is both astounding and terrifying.  Why?  Because it illustrates the level of ready belief and sanguine compliance to which the overwhelming fraction of Americans have been reduced.  Without interest or thought, these millions of fellow citizens will literally believe anything that the lamestream puts out.  And if these leftwing outlets refuse to report it, then it simply doesn’t exist in their world of managed and lightly exercised thought.

That manner of practicing democracy was further abetted by the ignoring then denial of the confirmed HunterB laptop and tens of thousands of culpatory emails which outlined the years of influence peddling by the Biden family.  And finally, the nothing-burger of dunning the nation’s C19 response which clearly had the largest impact on the sheeple.  It was blared out by all media channels daily, and accepted as gospel here and abroad without a shred of evidence.  The sheeple were told that science speaks with one consensual voice, and that politically correct voice (no matter how much it varied over the months) confirmed the president’s mismanagement that was the sole cause of hundreds of thousands of preventable C19 deaths.  The simple allegation, repeated thousands of times, was enough - no further evidence was and still is necessary.  And they all believed; not only that, but also that JoeB had a plan to fix the whole thing once he was voted in.

These three shameful episodes delineating our decline are sufficient evidence for me to believe that, no matter the ultimately demonstrated veracity of voter fraud, America has entered the epoch of nationalized voter manipulation that makes possible nationalized voter fraud.

[More update]  And here are couple more of some curious coincidences that now seem to be pouring in.  It was really a miracle that 450,000 more votes were discovered in battleground states, all of them for Joe Biden - whouda thought?  When you're popular, you're popular.  This little piece was reported this morning on FB by Sydney Powell on Maria Bartiromo's program (here).  And wait, don't go away.  Another coincidence has Gateway Pundit reporting that "Nancy Pelosi’s Chief of Staff Is Chief Executive and Feinstein’s Husband a Major Shareholder at Dominion Ballot Counting Systems" (here).  Things are getting curioser and curioser.  Now if you don't want to hear about any of this, may I suggest going to any lamestream outlet. (H/T to reader)

[9nov20 update]  President Trump’s Warp Speed vaccine development program announced first fruits from Pfizer and BioNTech, these are the first two pharmas completing successful testing and now apply for final FDA approval before its distribution.  Other pharmas working on C19 vaccines will soon follow.  This development is historic beyond compare, and exceeds even the most optimistic predictions when the administration’s program was announced – Even Dr Fauci opined that nothing could be expected before 18 to 24 months (compared to the approx. 10-year normal development time).  All pro-American people are cheering as they welcome this sea changing news for our country and the world.

All except Bumblebrain Biden and minions who rushed out to attempt a pre-emptive public statement and launch what we may expect for some time to come as the first edition of Biden’s Bamboozle Bullshit.  He let the us know that the country’s real response to C19 will start after he is sworn in, citing his newly formed C19 committee that will “follow the science”.  The clear message throughout his blurb was that nothing has been done to date, and the steps he outlined will save us all after they are implemented during his administration.

The hogwash was obvious to all who know what Trump has done, and that Biden’s proposals are literally nothing new.  He gave the most passing mention to the coming vaccine and was only concerned about its equitable distribution.  His newly discovered solution to preventing C19 spread continues to rely on masks and social distancing.  Actually, Bumblebrain has now also discovered that the feds can’t mandate national mask wearing, that has to be done state by state.  No apologies for the contrary bullshit he and Kamala spewed during their campaign.  As usual, he took no questions and hustled out immediately after his prepared remarks.  The “Biden Plan” is literally nothing more than a belated and partial implementation of what the Trump administration already has in place – and the nation’s double dummies continue to lap it up.

The one who really blew the Democrats’ cover about Covid this morning was Gov Cuomo.  He made it clear that the most important thing about the vaccine was its politically correct distribution to the poor, minorities, and tribes.  His message was that until such “equitable” distribution means were in place, the vaccine should be withheld – it don’t matter how many people would die in the interval.  Readers will recall that I presented the correct Democrat pre-election (now pre-inauguration) utility function for their public policies – minimize economic growth and maximize C19 deaths.

I fear for our beloved Republic (updated 7nov20)

George Rebane

With the election over and unknown thousands of votes yet to be discovered, counted, and adjudicated, we have entered a virgin and wild land untrammeled in our history.  Having arrived therein, today we are literally a polarized population of pioneers who see the other as savages to be subdued.  Common ground for launching a healing dialogue was forsaken long ago.

Reminding readers that these pages contain ‘Observations and Interpretations from the Last Great Century of Man’, we now begin in earnest to witness and partake in our country’s dissolution – the Great Divide has arrived, what remains is how we can go forward to a mutually satisfactory political solution that describes the form and functions of a newly divided continent.  If we cannot resolve this peacefully, then we may have our country’s first true civil war in which both sides wish to take over and rule the entire land.

History students understand that the conflagration of 1860-65 was not a civil war, as it is erroneously described today.  In reality it was a War for Southern Independence launched by secessionist states that had no desire to ‘take over’ the United States of America.  Were violence to be our fate, then one can foresee a similarly purposed conflict with the Right wanting to secede, and the Left opposing secession with the force of arms.  That is a political asymmetry the Left has refused to acknowledge, as it vigorously opposes its natural outcome.

The Right wants to live in a land where it can practice its values of liberty, freedom, enterprise, and capitalism.  The Right has no desire to force other people to adopt their values and mores.  The Left, as the perpetual hatchery of totalitarian regimes, will force everyone it can control to adopt and practice its ideology, even if that necessitates a vast gulag and re-education camps.  The Left has demonstrated again its perennial practice of soiling its existing nests, and then emigrating to unspoiled regions and communities to repeat the process.  There is no evidence of emigrations in the opposite direction; the people of the Right continue to escape to a shrinking collection of unspoiled pastures with the vain hope that they will not be followed.  It is anyone’s guess how long this pattern of migrations can continue.

The election of 2020 is yet to be decided, but the outlook for Republicans does not look good.  I assess President Trump’s chance of being re-elected at less than 5%.  The only hope for America dodging the fundamental transformation bullet for the near term is that Republicans retain the Senate, and that SCOTUS will revert to a strong constitutionalist bench in adjudicating the blizzard of cases it will encounter.  With a Republican Senate under Majority Leader Mitch, we can hope for blockage of the most egregious socialist GND legislation that will issue from Speaker Pelosi’s House.  Under the Harris/Biden administration gridlock will be good.

What disturbs (terrifies?) me the most is the fraction of the electorate that support a fundamental transformation of our Republic from the historical country of Makers to a country of government promoted Takers.  This is the key attribute that illustrates our divided house, and therefore portends the Great Divide.  None of our leading thinkers ensconced in their Institutions of Thinking has a clue on how to stop the ever-widening chasm so well illustrated this week, let alone providing even a rough outline for bringing us back close enough to preserve the Union.  I say this because the Takers have been taught to believe that the only means to reduce their pain – real, imagined, or self-inflicted – is to have government take more from the Makers.  As has been shown in so many other countries passing through socialism, there always comes a time when the Makers quit making.

The 2022 election will respond to whatever pain the Democrats inflict on the country.  Even though fewer Republican Senate seats will be up for grabs, the solution of inducing more Makers to make more is not on any progressive horizon.  If the Senate flips to the dark side, then Nellie bar the door; even a conservative SCOTUS on the way to the packing house will be of no help.  This election, now going for the bumblebrain and socialist-in-waiting, demonstrates that we Americans no longer have the collective wisdom to preserve our liberties or our land of the free.  Once a political monopoly is established at the federal level, it will take the country down the trail so visibly blazed by California and its like-minded coastal calamities.  What happens then is anyone’s guess, but for sure it will not be pretty.

During this tendentious week, my final wish is that President Trump will act presidential when this election’s dust settles.  And if he must depart, that he does so with newfound dignity and decorum, that were it practiced more frequently during his years in office would have guaranteed him a second term.

[7nov20 update]  "Joe Biden is Elected the 46th U.S. President"

Election 2020 Scattershots (updated 4nov20)

George Rebane

All nations that have yielded to a political monopoly have descended into autocracy on the road to tyranny.

[3nov20]  Starting today – Election Day – we are going to witness an historic ramping up of fake news, Big Lies, and propaganda from the Left’s lamestream media channels.  This will be the likes of something we have never seen, exceeding or at least rivalling the 19^th century ante-bellum press reports and political commentaries.  Finding reliable news sources to monitor the progress of the election and public square responses in the coming days will be difficult.  Readers are invited to share links to outlets they consider reliable.  And our leftwing readers are encouraged to present evidence about conservative outlets that are participating in this national charade.

Reader Barry Pruett sent this photo of Reno voters waiting in a long line to vote.

[4nov20 update]  Fox News election reporting is a puzzle.  Their projections continue to change without providing any evidence as to why.  I’ve been a longtime critic of their claim to be “Fair, balanced, and unafraid.”  As even some national conservative commentators (e.g. Rush Limbaugh) are starting to point out, FN has added a new reason to be afraid – the ire of the Murdochs, their ‘Never Trump’ owners.  ‘Fair’ and ‘balanced’ are unachievable, and FN has always been a bit skittish in straying too far to the right of the lamestream.  The choice of verbiage for their news copy is a dead giveaway.  It’s a sad state of affairs when the best available outlet is also visibly tainted.

The Economist is clueless when it comes to interpretations of Americana and what’s going on in the United States, and its reportage regularly reflects that.  But that ‘newspaper’ has something going for it that makes it a rare remaining class act in journalism.  It is a privately owned enterprise and makes no pretense of being fair and balanced.  It has a definite list to port of which it is proud, and you can see it reflected in almost every news article it publishes where it marbles its editorial ideology with its interpretation of the reported happenings; and that goes double for its opinionated commentators.  Now that is what I call unafraid journalism.  Take a look at the front cover of its most recent print edition – no puzzle there as to their position on our politics.

Pass the barf bag.  I’ve had it to the gills with all these heavy duty journalists and experts on TV finding new and not so ingenious ways of saying, ‘I don’t know, beats the hell out of me’ when asked a question about who may win this or how that state will go.  They’re paid big bucks to lay their balls on the line and make some kind of firm prognostication from all the data they’ve seen, the elections they’ve covered, and time they’re now spending puzzling on probable outcomes.  I can say ‘I don’t know all by my lonesome.’  The only reason I tune in to those chowder heads is to glean some insight that my little pea brain has missed.  Instead, we get these tautologies, ‘Well, if it keeps going like this, then X will happen, and if it turns around and goes the other way, then Y will happen (or worse, simply ‘X will not happen’)’.  Well no shit Hoppy!  What a load of crap they feed us between 5-minute commercial breaks.

 

A reader’s hopeful election assessment

George Rebane

Under the ‘Estonian Fox’ moniker, one of our east coast readers has been a regular on these comment streams.  He emailed me his filled out electoral college predictions in the spreadsheet format that I developed and made available here.  The first figure below shows his vote assignment per state at the various probability levels.  His bottom line is that Trump’s expected electoral votes are 278 (270 required to win), and Biden’s expected is 260.  This squeaker projects a 0.52 probability that Trump wins.  In the second figure EFox assigned ones and zeros to the candidates who had the higher probability of taking each state from his first assessment.  This kind of ‘all or nothing’ figuring give Trump 325 votes and Biden 213 – a clear Republican glory road.  Well, from his mouth to God’s ear is all we can hope for.

Biden Family Scandal Debunked

George Rebane

News media's search for balance is an errand for hubristic fools.

Here I am, writing this mea culpa with a red face.  Over the past week or so, I was among the millions of rightwingers who took in the news - hook, line, and sinker - about the business dealings of Hunter, Jim, and Joe (“the big guy”) Biden.  This morning my eyes were opened by an incisive and revealing op-ed piece – ‘Never mind COVID, how about Hunter?’ - in the 30oct20 Union by its publisher Don Rogers.  There he details a vast bamboozle, now in full swing, managed by Team Trump in the attempt to again illegitimately influence the election.  Reading the tightly worded expose, one immediately sees how these shenanigans all fit together to produce a conspiracy of size, depth, and scope never attempted in the history of our Republic.

The first thing I learned from Mr Rogers’ piece was that the country cannot continue executing its C19 response while also attending to the Biden scandal news.  I must admit, I never thought of that important detail.  We live and learn, when our betters shine the light.

The whole conspiracy apparently started by a rightwing Mac repair shop owner producing a laptop he claimed belonged to Hunter.  We should have known that this was a plant because it’s very unlikely that any “Trump follower” and “patriot” would ever operate a computer repair shop – a dead giveaway.

And then more evidence of a bamboozle when Trump’s lawyer Giuliani was given a copy of the alleged emails supposedly on Hunter’s laptop.  Everyone knows that Giuliani is in the bag and easy to involve in any of Trump’s shenanigans.  And everyone knows that Giuliani in his travels to Ukraine and points east has already been compromised by the Russians, and is now one of Putin’s Pals.

Where it gets really interesting is the report that the FBI was given the computer, and has had it for a better part of a year.  But that dog won’t hunt either.  We know how the FBI has been complicit in a lot of underhanded doings; it wouldn’t take any silver-tongued devil, say, like Bill Barr (no doubt in on it from the start), to talk the FBI’s leadership to join the conspiracy.  Again, I was blinded by FBI Dir Wray et al announcing that Hunter has been under criminal investigation since last year.  A clever ruse that has convinced too many of us unsuspecting naïfs.

What really should also have alerted all of us to the magnitude of the conspiracy was how Trump paraded DNI Ratcliffe in front of the nation to announce that the entire intelligence community had analyzed all the doings, and had not been able to find any Russian connection.  That that was clearly a lie came to light when we heard of the letter from 50 retired intelligence sector managers.  These distinguished gentlemen assured the country that the laptop and emails affair had all the earmarks of a Russian operation.  In fact, so much so, that any reasonable person would agree that no further evidence was needed to prove that point.  Again, plain as day, the allegation of so many retired intelligence professionals should have, then and there, made clear to all what was really going down.  But I and people like me just went ahead believing.  (Readers know that I was also bamboozled by all the findings discrediting the Steele dossier – too soon old, too late smart.)

What really took us in were the obviously placed reports of other colleagues of Hunter who had received some of the alleged emails.  To include such unknowns in the game was a no-brainer.  The real clever and well-thought-out ruse was the whole affair involving retired Navy officer Tony Bobulinsky.  Bobulinsky, supposedly CEO of a Hunter set-up company, was put up in a LA hotel room in front of Tucker Carlson (already another dead giveaway) to sing like a bird.  Some may argue that since Bobulinsky, from a long and honorable military family, was already wealthy, therefore he would not be on the take for a few more mere millions.  But we all know that rich guys are greedy and forever on the take; it really didn’t take much to get him to play along.  Anyway, the entire Bobulinsky thing is a sideshow and charade, especially his claim of discussing the whole alleged scam with Joe Biden himself, and now adding on that the FBI has listed him as a "material witness" in its criminal investigation of the Bidens.  The whole country knows what a straight-up guy VP Joe has been, a man who would never be involved in crass undertakings such as family-wide influence peddling.  Again, another missed dead giveaway.

And now we hear reports that the NY Post, the rightwing rag that broke the story, contracted a well-known cybersecurity expert to authenticate Hunter’s Burisma emails (more here).  That desperate ploy itself should have put the kibosh on the whole conspiracy.  But no, all this time we have had more rightwing media outlets like Fox News and the Wall Street Journal acting out their roles like a bought-and-paid-for chorus giving credence to the fabricated dirty linens manufactured in Russia, and coordinated here from the White House.

Involving those major discredited rightwing news sources should have put paid on the whole sordid affair.  This was made doubly clear by the entire cadre of progressive networks, cable news, and newspapers bravely and professionally refusing to cover any of this insidious conspiracy, lest it poison the minds of the more malleable folks so close to the election.  I see this now as a public service of the first rank, and have to admit that it shades all of my misdirected diatribes over the years against the journalistic profession and our Fourth Estate – one of our sacred and celebrated public institutions.  And were it not for courageous and diligent journalists like The Union’s Don Rogers, so many of us would never have been the wiser.  For me, it’s better late than never.

Scattershots – 25oct20 (updated 28oct20)

George Rebane

Exciting times, youngest granddaughter Fi just gave birth to Maybelle at Sierra Memorial to our fifth great-grandchild.  Daddy Shawn was there to catch it on the first bounce or sooner.  They’re not allowing visitors during these trying times, so our family's welcoming committee will have to form when the new mama and baby get discharged.  Oh well.

Dodgers v Rays at 2-2.  From the record, the chances that the winner of the 2-2 game goes on to win the series is 65% or about two out of three.  I dug up this stat to see how close it matched the chances for two equally capable teams each having a 50-50 chance of winning a subsequent game.  Going into the 3-2 game, the ‘3’ team has a 75% chance of taking the series, and the ‘2’ team’s chance is 25%.  So the record book’s 65% stat of actual 3-2 winners is a mite low, but still commanding.  Were we to do a little bit of probability math and compute what the actual probability of the series champ winning the subsequent games that yield the recorded 65% stat, we would get 41%, or about two out of five, as the probability of winning each subsequent game.  This says that during the history of baseball, winners of the 2-2 games, those who went on to win the series 65% of the time, were actually the poorer of the two teams who just managed to make it to the 2-2 game score in the series.  That explains that if they were better to at least be 50-50 equal with the other team, they would have won the series 3 out of 4 times instead of 2 out 3 times.  Throw a brainbone around that.

[26oct20 update]  The DJA is down 2.50% (707 points) as I write; supposedly on fears that there will be no stimulus bill, Nancy won’t allow it, and the "uptick" of C19 cases.  A week before the election, and things are looking dim for President Trump and the Republicans.  It reminds me again of the difference between our polarized politics.  One side has a tougher row to hoe since it bases its message on building and growing the fortunes of Americans.  And that’s hard, especially when the other side does all it can to diminish, dampen, and destroy the opportunities for all, save their elites – especially their black constituents whom they have had in the bag since the Great Society days.  It’s much harder to build than to tear down.  With all this news the Democrats are dancing in the streets. 

The WH correctly maintains that we will “defeat” C19, but we “cannot control it”.  Unfortunately, to most people this will seem like a conundrum – how can we defeat something we can’t control?  Of course, the Dems and their lamestream media will make the most out of this statement, claiming it’s proof of Trump’s failed C19 response policy.  Those more used to critical thought realize that we have managed to defeat (with vaccines and therapeutics) many diseases in the sense that we can go on with our lives in a normal manner without the ability to control when and where any such disease will again turn up.  The list of such defeated but uncontrolled bugs and viruses is long.  This statement from the WH is meant to promote getting back to normal sooner than later, but that’s not how it will be spun to the all-believing hoi polloi.  Sad, but it is what it is.

A new study proclaims that “2.5 Million Person-Years of Life Have Been Lost Due to COVID-19 in the United States”.  We read (here) that Harvard Medical School geneticist Stephen Elledge, says he did the analysis to correct "the false impression that the impact on society of these deaths is minimal" because they are concentrated among the elderly.  Actually, Dr Elledge misses the point completely with his mathematical manipulation of C19 mortality statistics.  His study does not consider who actually suffers the loss of so many million life-years lost.  By any known metric our society (and world) is not lacking for the billions of life-years lost through whatever causes.  However, one can instead make the case that our society and world (i.e. the aggregate cohort of survivors) do suffer today from too many life-years lived. (more here)

[27oct20 update] Rebane Doctrine re status of country correctly summarized in ‘The American Experiment is on Life Support’ by Andrew Michta, dean of the College of International and Security Studies at the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies in Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany.  And then there’s our eternally confused progressive Union columnist Darrell Berkheimer, in whose ‘Why does ‘socialism is bad’ myth continue?’ he demonstrates again that he understands neither socialism, capitalism, America’s governance, nor human nature.  The ways he achieves this state of ignorance are too many to count.

Thanksgiving 2020 is cancelled for all intents and purposes.  Gov Newsom has done it again.  In our progressives' search for ever more ignorant, harmful, and useless public policies, this 9oct20 ‘Guidance for Private Gatherings’ from the California Health and Human Services Agency takes the cake.  But not to worry.  Give it a couple of days, and an even more stupid one will soon be coming down from the heights of Mt Sacramento.  (H/T to reader)

Thousand plus looters rampage through Philadelphia stores “for hours” as a smattering of assembled police stand by and do nothing (more here).  Jim Kenney, Philadelphia’s Democratic mayor, saw fit to order no enhanced police presence as leftwing rioters ransacked store after store.  The message to fellow Democrat mayors is clear – no need to enforce the law and take a political hit from the Left, since the Democratic leadership and the lamestream media will do its job of calling the whole thing a ‘peaceful protest’ and sweep the rest under its self-censoring teppich.

Journalism’s unstoppable ‘Leftward Ho!’

George Rebane

[Apologies for the late posting of this commentary.  My writing workflow always has several pieces in concurrent development, and sometimes one of them with time-dependent content gets overlooked for too long, but one that I still want to have archived as part of RR’s record.]

California’s passing of a racial diversity law that prescribes the composition of boards of corporations headquartered in the state.  This new legislation, now signed into law, is one the most blatant racist mandates by government that the morals-bleating Left have imposed on residents.  (more here)  This law joins the gender-biased legislation that requires female representation on boards and takes another step away from merit-based make-ups of publicly traded corporate boards.

There is no question that such laws continue to hobble the engines of wealth creation in California, but wealth creation has never been the objective of socialist governments.  The state has assumed the mantle of leadership in the Union for destructive collectivist initiatives designed to fundamentally transform America from a capitalist economy and society to one of comprehensive government planning and control.

Along this road to autocracy, we encounter questions raised for years on RR.  Now others are beginning understand the societal benefits of more culturally coherent societies, as we witness the daily destruction of every aspect of America’s traditions, cultural values, and institutions (more here).  Our Fourth Estate has long abandoned their traditional role in bringing reliable and timely news to their audiences.  They all are invested in one or the other side of a terminally polarized citizenry, and there is less and less of the ‘other side’ remaining in the cadre of media outlets.  No conservative broadcast outlets remain.  There is only Fox News which used to be a solidly “fair and balanced” outlet that also gave conservative voices a podium.  That stance is now fading as FN succumbs to the fear of being left behind in the virtue signaling competition, as it includes ever more liberal talking heads and left-tainted news copy.  When Rupert made his liberal son Lachlan CEO of Fox Corporation that owns FN, he started revamping both the Fox News and Fox Business cable outlets.

A Purposely Politicized “Pseudo-pandemic”

'A nation ignorant and free, that never was and never shall be.'  Thomas Jefferson

George Rebane

Today reporting on the corona or Covid-19 virus (C19) resembles a chaotic cacophony.  I wanted to pull together some salient factors that help me sort things out in this blizzard of mostly junk journalism, agenda driven by election year politics.  So, with apologies where needed, I offer the following potpourri.

We have analyzed the science and response policies invoked by the C19 outbreak twenty ways from Sunday, and the evidence continues to mount that this year the globe has been subjected to a “pseudo-pandemic” driven by politics and political/ideological agendas.  The science behind C19 is complex and has been mostly banished to be brought up when a political statement needs some additional support.  Then the science is almost always misrepresented or abbreviated beyond recognition (more below).  And there’s the real problem, the science is beyond the attention spans and comprehension of 99.99% of the people who just listen to the loudest and oft repeated voices.

Scattershots – 20oct20 (updated 22oct20)

George Rebane

This afternoon the FBI and DoJ stated their concurrence with DNI Ratcliffe’s revelation (here) that the Hunter Biden laptop email scandal had nothing to do with or was any part of Russia’s disinformation campaign to undermine confidence in our November election.  The laptop emails are real.  Claiming otherwise over the last week has been a prime example of the Democrats’ Big Lie campaign, which here will be corroborated by our leftwing readers practicing their SNEP (Socialist Narrative Exclusion Principle) responses.

[21oct20 update]  Continuing proof that most (not all) liberals are functional idiots.  To this day, these mental midgets do not understand that fascists are collectivists of the autocratic cum tyrannical variety, who work for a leviathan government that directly controls most of its industry, imposes stacks of regulations, is anti-religion, collects enormous taxes, suppresses individual liberties, and maintains a large internal police apparatus to enforce the whole thing.  This is exactly the opposite of the kind of governance that rightwing conservatives desire.  In today’s 21oct20 Union we have an example of one of these midgets, a Mr Robert Lobell, who labors mightily to present ‘building evidence’ that President Trump is a fascist (here), and instead presents evidence that he doesn’t have a clue about what is going on in Washington, among other places.  But he does describe precisely the major tenets of the now likely Harris/Biden disaster.

The Hunter Biden email scandal is mounting with the FBI’s “nothing to add to Ratcliffe’s statement”, more email recipients confirming veracity of the collection, confirmation of the laptop’s chain of custody, Secret Service matching travel logs, documented ‘pay for play’ shares, … .  With all this coming out, Bumblebrain has now stated that there is “no basis” for the claim that his son profited from trading influence with foreign governments.  And to keep things as quiet as possible, the overwhelming share of America’s news industry, affectionately known as the lamestream media, does not even make a peep about what is clearly the greatest corruption high-level corruption scandal in modern US history.  SNEP on steroids.  (more  here, here, here, and here)

They really don’t know squat.  We just got back from a political luncheon meeting where part of the conversation revolved around the dissemination of the Hunter Biden emails.  And a common experience of some of the assembled was that their liberal friends literally knew nothing of what’s going on with Hunter’s laptop and the emails on it.  One couple has a son who works on the staff of a Democrat state office holder.  They asked his thoughts on the matter, and he drew a complete blank.  We are now effectively subjected to a Deep State controlled news and entertainment media enterprise comprised of what can best be described as the vast Progeny of Pravda.  When political workers of one side are so insular in their knowledge of national happenings, then control of the electorate for all intents and purposes is complete.  The rest of us are really just pissing into the wind.

[22oct20 update] The real Russian colluders have turned out to be the Democrats; we’ve been aware of this for at least two years.  Hillary’s misdeeds are known and await indictment.  The newest pals of all things Russian and Chinese are members of the Biden cosa nostra, and it turns out there are plenty of them.  More evidence of how that group of grifters operated for years is now turning up daily.  Given the upcoming election, the stimulus bill negotiations, and other divers things to attend to, the Dems are having a hard time fitting in all the denials and accusations of a vast Republican “smear campaign”.  Typical of the daily fare now is this piece just out – ‘New Documents Shed Light On Hunter Biden’s Links To Russian Billionaire Oligarch’.  The difference between the Democrats’ “evidence” and evidence of the misdeeds of the Clinton Clan and the Biden Bunch is that the latter is specific and verifiable.  All that’s now required is the growth of some political balls to get it all in front of a grand jury.

 

More registered than residents (updated 20oct20)

George Rebane

Here’s one hot off the press.  ‘New Data Analysis Finds 353 Counties With 1.8 Million More Registered Voters Than Residents’.  It appears that this is just the tip of the ‘voter irregularity’ iceberg.  There are 3,141 counties in the US, and these 1.8M 'ghost voters' are concentrated in just 353 or 11% of them.  Awake (not woke) readers recall that county, hence state, elections have been flipped and/or decided by just a few thousand voting this way or that way.

The registration data came from the American Community Survey section of the US Census Bureau.  In LA County alone, there are more than 1.5M ‘inactive voters’ who have now received ballots which could literally be voted by anyone.  But, as I said, this is just the tip.  Last year it was found that 372 US counties had more registered voters than they had voting age residents.  Included in these, no doubt, we today have eight states – Alaska, Colorado, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, Rhode Island, and Vermont – that have statewide registered voters that total to more than 100% of their states' voting age residents.

Tom Fitton, president of the non-profit Judicial Watch, said, “This data highlights the recklessness of mailing blindly ballots and ballot applications to voter registration lists. Dirty voting rolls can mean dirty elections.”  Of course, all this remains a SNEP (q.v.) issue to all Americans left of Chief Justice John Roberts.  Not to worry, what could go wrong?

PS.  Oh yeah, 'Pennsylvania Rejects 372,000 Mail-in Ballot Applications, as Voters Err'.

[20oct20 update] The non-partisan, non-profit Election Integrity Project has been monitoring California elections for some years now.  This year its work is really cut out for them and all volunteer poll watchers across the nation.  In California, as usual, we suffer the most from every progressive policy foisted on the state’s citizens (note, I didn’t say ‘residents’).  The EIP has discovered that California’s SecState has mailed out 440,000 ballots that, at best, are identified as “questionable” for a number of reasons (more here).  On the road to making this November’s election the nation’s first intentionally corrupt national vote, our SecState Alex Padilla has instituted new regulations to make this election the most opaque in the state’s history.  The EIP finding ‘With a One-Two Punch, CA Secretary of State Destroys Election Transparency’ details the ongoing corruption of this year’s universal mail-in ballots will be handled, and how observation of the handling procedures will be thwarted.  The evil party at work.

Deep State Agencies/Bureaus/Administrations identified.

George Rebane

According to Rebane Doctrine, when an organized unit or authorized agent of any of the three branches of our federal government makes a legitimate request for information from a federal agency/bureau/administration, it should be promptly acknowledged and its commitment to fulfill stated.  If fulfillment is not forthcoming for some reason, then an appropriately placed agent in the branch that oversees said agency/bureau/administration should respond with a timely explanation of why the request cannot be honored.  When such an agency/bureau/administration simply stonewalls a legitimate requestor and no other timely response is forthcoming, then that is prima facie evidence of the existence of an unelected Deep State as a sovereign unconstitutional fourth branch of government, and declaration/identification of the requestee as a member of the Deep State.

Within this understanding, such a Deep State does indeed exist within the U.S. federal government, with various federal agencies, bureaus, and administrations making their memberships known on a very regular basis.  In recent years this has been more than corroborated by the IRS and several intelligence/investigative units of our government.  Currently we witness the Deep State’s FBI refusing to answer questions from Sen Ron Johnson (R-WI), chair of the Senate’s Homeland Security Committee, regarding the veracity of details concerning Hunter Biden’s recently disclosed laptop.  FBI Director Wray is silent, and neither the WH nor the DoJ are responding (more here).

‘I want Trump to die’ addended

George Rebane

[Apologies for the late posting of this promised follow-on commentary.]

Thoughtful comments from readers expanded the scope of my 4oct20 ‘I want Trump to die’ commentary to encompass social behaviors that may or not be acceptable and/or legal under our current form of governance.  And this includes a wide variety of people’s aspirations for regicide and its modern versions that include the leaders of more representative and therefore more liberal governments.  More specifically, comments from progressive readers such as Steven Frisch who strongly asserts, “I have stated here on many occasions that I do not believe that political violence is justified in American society. I have also stated on many occasions that I believe that some of the rhetoric used on this page, and the tacit acceptance of the threat of, or insinuation of, political violence is philosophically un-American and un-patriotic.”

As a conservetarian, I take great issue with such a belief while acknowledging that it is held by most, but not all, liberals and progressives in America.  The new neo-Marxist wing of the Democratic Party has no such inhibitions against political violence.  In fact, in the written manifestos on their websites, neo-Marxist organizations such as BLM, proudly declare their support of, and even the necessity for such violence to topple corrupt and unjust political orders.  They back this up with their actions in the streets and voluminous statements to the press justifying politically motivated riots.

In these pages over the years I have often argued that in a liberal and free country, the citizens’ right and ability to violently oppose their government should always be recognized, celebrated, maintained, and not be insidiously abridged by government.  Although and without contradiction, if such a purposely violent cohort does arise, the non-violent citizens opposing that cohort have every right to petition and support their government in opposing such violence with all the force provided it by established laws.  In short, a free people are free only to the extent that they retain their ability to successfully resist their government in order to be able to fundamentally transform it through reform or revolution.

We understand these truths from the historical fact that America was born through political violence, and that the subsequent exercise of political violence has served to preserve the Union many times since.  To now declare that political violence has suddenly become “un-American and un-patriotic” as a basic right of a free people, provided for in our Constitution, is both preposterous and ignorant of the fundamental principles and means of our country’s founding and maintenance.

Here I once more expand on the rationale for these beliefs in ‘Versions of Fundamental Transformations’ which you can download here -  Download VersFundTransforms.  Long time readers are aware of the bases for these beliefs from the collected tenets of my credo and related commentaries over the years – see also the Bastiat Triangle, a Conservetarian Credo, and the Rebane Doctrine category of this blog.

Corporatist Censorship in Full Bloom

"The capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them."  Vladimir Ilich Lenin

George Rebane

There is no longer any reason to deny the death throes of the First Amendment.  The country’s Left, working hand-in-glove with its media, public education, and corporatist lackies, has won the Newspeak and censorship wars.  This morning we heard from FN and Politico that President Trump’s Twitter account has been “suspended”. (here)  Why?  Well, our chief executive dared to point out the burgeoning Hunter Biden email scandal that the New York Post uncovered and dared to publish.  (more here)  Of course, the NYP had its social accounts quickly taken down as the lamestream media pitched in to try and kill the story.

These are just the latest in a rapidly growing trend of social media companies censoring any and all content that goes counter to the Left’s narrative of the country’s ills which require its prescribed fundamental transformation of America.  The alarums, now being raised here and there by opposing voices, point to this avalanche of avaricious one-sided virtue signalers.  However, these voices are getting little or no traction in the public square.  The careful media consumer already has seen FN, that formerly stalwart bulwark of 'fair, balanced, and unafraid' news, begin its quiet ‘go along to get along’ with the loud voices of the Left.

Nevertheless, some worthies are not giving up without a fight.  Evidence that FN is not yet fully committed to the devil’s den, it has posted ‘Ex-Facebook honcho Tim Kendall says Big Tech is a “threat to democracy”, calls for social media reform’. (H/T to reader)  Therein Kendall makes the point that big tech is engaged in a “global assault on democracy”.  He has produced ‘The Social Dilemma’, a film streaming on Netflix, in which he and other epiphanied high tech execs give their versions of the deluge of fake news, misinformation, and behavior modifying stimuli that pour out of the web pages of today’s social media giants.

“There are studies that show false information or fake news spreads six times faster online than accurate information. The attention-based business model of social media companies perpetuates outlandish, extreme, and controversial content that tends to receive more clicks and views. Content laced with misleading information that undermines faith in elections and other institutions vital to democracy is particularly dangerous for our society. In the near term, everyone should tune out the noise online and vote with confidence, whether by mail or in-person, and participate in this crucial democratic process.”

Before the metastasis of this communications cancer, we already witnessed corporatists willingly sell socialists the rope with which America's capitalists will be hanged.  Today this enterprise has expanded to corporatists vying with each other to hand that rope gratis to our country’s comrades.  

The Durham Disgrace

George Rebane

According to our DoJ, in the spring of 2019 attorney John Durham was tasked with “exploring the extent to which a number of countries, including Ukraine, played a role in the counterintelligence investigation directed at the Trump campaign during the 2016 election,”  His mandate included determination of whether “intelligence collection activities by the U.S. government related to the Trump 2016 Presidential Campaign were lawful and appropriate.”

He has been at the task for over 18 months, and has produced little (one insignificant guilty plea) and reported diddly-squat on his progress.  Bottom line, no one outside his boss AG Bill Barr knows what progress he has made, or what Durham is currently pursuing.  The only reports about the investigation we hear are admonishments that there is “concern that the investigative team is being pressed for political reasons to produce a report before its work is done.” (more here)

Well, hell yes!  The prime purpose of the investigation is to maximally inform the American electorate BEFORE the election about which low-lifes did what to whom with all the visibly criminal things that went on in Obama’s DoJ, FBI, et al to foment the ongoing attacks on Trump’s campaign and presidency.  There are smoking guns all over the place, and Durham was supposed see if there was enough to tie a bow of criminality on the whole affair.  For that he has had the widest latitude in how and where he can poke his nose.

And now we hear that he will not issue a report before the election, why?  Because it might affect the election.  Again – well, hell yes! If there is evidence there that would impact the election in the minds of reasonable voters, then we should be made aware of it in a timely manner.  There is NO dictum from anyone, including Barr, that Durham’s probe has to be all done with a nice stack of bound final reports coming from the printer before we know what he found out or didn’t find.  He can always publish an interim report, and let us know what he has discovered to date, AND then continue with his investigation as long a AG Barr lets him.

And as I’ve recommended before, if he has stuff that’s culpatory and that can’t be released, he should just say that, and then escrow his time-stamped evidence and investigative intents with an appropriate court or the DoJ.  But leaving the country in the dark as we head for the most impactive election of our lifetime, an election that already stinks to high heaven, should not be accepted by anyone in Congress or the administration concerned about the timely discovery of truth.  Holding in secret today evidence that would inform and advise the electorate is an historical crock of crap, and we all appear to have been made docile enough to accept it without a peep.

Unreasonable Partisan Fears

"We have nothing to fear but those who live in fear." – BH, RR reader and contributor

George Rebane

[This is the addended transcript of my regular KVMR commentary broadcast on 13 October 2020.]

Our Left has been telling Republicans for years that Democrats are the party of intellectuals and the highly educated.  Republicans are viewed by the Left as mostly Bible-thumpin’and gun totin’ knuckle-draggers, categorized simply as those ‘irredeemable deplorables’ on our political landscape.  Among the many deficits allegedly shared by those on the Right is their disdain for science, which the Democratic Party claims is the guiding star for their public policies and gives imprimatur to the pronouncements of their elites.

The strongest substance for that belief is the oft-cited ratio of white college graduates who claim party affiliation.  The Atlantic sits solidly on the throne of leftwing wisdom and light, from whence it advises us that ‘America Is Divided by Education’, and asserts that “the gulf between the party identification of white voters with college degrees and those without is growing rapidly. Trump is widening it.”  Actually, there is no evidence for that, and the National Center for Educational Statistics has shown a growing fraction of those of all races and ethnicities who obtain bachelor’s or higher degrees (here).

What really is more than puzzling is the lack of published numbers on party totals of those who have a 4-year college degree or higher.  It is well known that Democrats enjoy higher percentages of black and Hispanic members, but we don’t know how many of these with college degrees make up or contribute to each party’s cohort of the well-educated (more here ) .  The best we can tell from Pew Research is that “about a third (34%) of those with a college degree or more education identify as Democrats, compared with 24% who identify as Republicans.”  Note that this doesn’t answer what fraction of Democrats v Republicans have a college degree or more.  (more  here and here)

So, let’s attempt to leapfrog this gap in our knowledge and find out how the parties react to the most up-to-date science regarding Covid-19.  The World Health Organization has recently concluded that lockdowns as a pandemic response don’t work, and instead do great damage to the poorest segments of the world’s population.  This conclusion was amplified by last week’s publication of the Greater Barrington Declaration drafted by health scientists from Harvard, Oxford, and Stanford, and co-signed by thousands of professionals from all walks.  Its authors cite extensive clinical evidence to confirm the WHO conclusion, and strongly recommend that all nations immediately stand down from their ineffective and insane lockdown policies.  Even more strongly, they conclude that the additional deaths and morbidities, on top of the economic disasters caused by such policies, actually constitute “crimes against humanity” of the kind last litigated in Nuremberg in 1946.  (more here and here)

For reasons we don’t have time for here, the leftwing news outlets have covered none of this.  And apparently the country’s declared Democrats don’t look much beyond what they are told on MSNBC, CNN, et al.  So, when Gallup assembled a recent panel for a survey on how men and women of both parties view and respond to Covid-19, they discovered and published some interesting results which reflect on the educational levels as characterized by Democrats.  (see Addendum)

Gallup asked the panel questions about ‘concern over catching the virus’, ‘concern about exposure at work’, ‘avoiding going to public places’, and so on.  They concluded by asking who would be ‘ready to return to normal activities right now’.  Overwhelmingly, the results indicated that Democrats were significantly more fearful of the pandemic than Republicans, and women of both parties were more hesitant than men to interpret the science news that went counter to that released within the Democrat narrative about proper responses that recommend ongoing lockdowns, widespread social distancing, and perpetual wearing of masks.  Given the widely published mortality statistics, the presented results do not bode well for the party that claims to be more educated and attuned to the findings and contentions of science.

These conclusions explain why people in liberal states like California continue to be both docile and sanguine about their states’ ongoing draconian Covid-19 response policies - policies no longer supported by scientific consensus or internationally reputable scientists and clinicians.  It is clear that America’s public policy responses to this pandemic have been completely co-opted to serve greater political agendas in this election year.

My name is Rebane, and I also expand on this and related themes on Rebane’s Ruminations where the addended transcript of this commentary is posted with additional data and relevant links, and where such issues are debated extensively.  However, my views are not necessarily shared by KVMR.  Thank you for listening.

[Addendum]  Here is the table of compiled results by Gallup showing how respondents felt about loosening up on Covid-19 response policy protocols.

Ruminations – 11oct20 (updated 13oct20)

George Rebane

Sen Chris Coons (D-DE) invented the newest Democrat Big Lie when he claimed today that the Republicans are the ones “packing the court” with their nomination of Judge Barrett to fill RBG’s seat and bring SCOTUS back to its 150-year level of nine justices.  But his real slam is against the Democrat constituencies who he thinks are dense enough to believe him.

Leading leftwing lights go off the rails on Judge Amy Coney Barrett.  Bill Maher declared nationally that “she’s a fucking nut” and a Catholic who “speaks in tongues”.  Democrat commentator Keith Olbermann advises all that she “should be prosecuted” and “removed from our society”.  Given Judge Barrett’s vitae and reputation, these men most clearly expose the evil heart of the Democratic Party and its dim assessment of the American electorate.

“America is sleepwalking into soft totalitarianism.”  So argue several survivors from post-war communist East Europe.  A revealing interview (here) with author and commentator Rod Dreher gives basis for that argument (and substantiates those found in these pages).  “In the Orwellian, Soviet, Stalinist society, the state-controlled people by inflicting pain and terror on them. But in the soft totalitarianism that I see coming here, the state will control people—and not only states, but even more importantly, corporations and institutions like universities will control people by manipulating their access to the economy and to status and to all the markers of middle-class life.”  And this is only the first step, which in California is in aggressive advance (here).

[update] WHO now opposes lockdowns.  The World Health Organization has come out against lockdowns as a C19 response policy, stating that these are "a terrible, ghastly, global catastrophe".  I draw you kind attention to the 11oct20 update to 'Crimes Against Humanity'.

[13oct20 update]  Biden doesn’t know, has forgotten, or has yet to be told what his policies would be on everything from packing the court to regulatory reform.  All candidates in our history have made it a point to inform voters of their governance desiderata which they consider their strong points.  Not so with Bumblebrain, whose forte has been reeling off Big Lies, well documented in these pages since he became the Dems’ nominee.

Another shot in the shorts of our communally held sensibilities.  From the party of low-lifes we have the latest contribution.  Sen Mazie Hirono (D-HI) asked Judge Amy Coney Barrett if she has ever sexually assaulted someone (here).  They truly are a party of evil scumbags.

‘Crimes Against Humanity’ (updated 11oct20)

“Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.”, Richard Feynman

George Rebane

Almost everything you’ve heard about Covid-19 (here also C19) from politicians, the media, and publicized scientists and clinicians is wrong.  Here at RR, early on I started looking at the pandemic with a gimlet eye.  I did this as a science professional and a longtime student of how politics and scientification have been illicitly cohabiting for decades, to the point that today it’s difficult to tell which is the john and which is whore.  The C19 pandemic has brought it all together, and now invites serious review of the disease, its hysterical public response policies, and the real prophylaxis and collateral damage that has resulted from the variously implemented policies.

For the better part of this year we have been subjected to pronouncements delivered from on high about C19's sacrosanct ‘science’, and the irrevocable wisdom of ‘following the science’.  All this as if science was a singular, unitary, and all-illuminating oracle speaking to us from Olympus in a clear and unambiguous voice.  Nothing could be further from the truth, and over the months more and more serious and credible people are beginning to find their voice and speak out against such specious beliefs.  For openers, I suggest that readers begin with ‘What the pandemic has taught us about science’ by Matt Ridley, MP in the House of Lords, that appears in the 9oct20 WSJ.

The levels of clinical, scientific, and political fraud launched at global populations is of historical proportions.  It may be argued that never before have so many billions of humans been so thoroughly bamboozled by their political leaders, abetted by a willing media citing grant-sucking scientists, go-along healthcare professionals, and profit-motivated pharma.  This has reached levels which have invited a German-based investigative committee headed by Dr Reiner Fuellmich to launch a multi-national class action suit, making the case that such cynically enforced policies have caused enough death and destruction worldwide to amount to a ‘crime against humanity’, a charge last litigated in Nuremberg in 1946. (H/T to reader)

Fuellmich gives an extensive presentation of cited data and information about the advent of C19, its history, and reactions to this corona virus.  In it he presents data and information (prepared for the lawsuit) about the characteristics and progress of the disease that I venture few of us know.  The video of the presentation takes a better part of an hour, but the educational takeaway is well worth it for those concerned about our governments’ reactions, and the continuing diktats of its truly insane response policies.

One of the strong points Fuellmich brings out is the testing scam based on the widely used PCR-based diagnostic test that produces essentially worthless results as it is applied here and abroad.  For a broader look at how our FDA views the C19 tests and testing landscape, you can visit their website here.

Finally, of the hundreds of clinicians, scientists, and public health professionals who have looked askance at the governments’ dealings with the C19 pandemic, three internationally prominent scientists in the field gathered last weekend in Great Barrington, Massachusetts to draft a declaration and give interviews (here) on the planet’s misguided responses to the virus.  Drs Martin Kuldorff, Sumetra Gupta, and Jay Bhattacharya, professors respectively at Harvard, Oxford, and Stanford Universities, came together to put their appeal to sanity out in the public with their ‘Great Barrington Declaration’ which I reproduce in its entirety below.

Debate Derby – 8oct20

George Rebane

The Pence/Harris debate was at least an exercise in civility.  We finally got to compare what the socialists want for America, and what wants they’re not willing to admit to Americans.  We compared this with the capitalists’ plan for the next four years.  What a difference.  Harris spent most of her time lying (she got to speak 4 more minutes than Pence).  Her major lie kept focusing on Trump’s handling of the C19 pandemic, which according to the Dems’ Big Lie has been a preventable unmitigated disaster to which they would have responded almost identically as has President Trump.  Well, truth be told, their copycat version leaves out a couple things that this administration accomplished.

What’s interesting to me is that no one points out the comparative C19 stats between the US and other advanced, but much smaller countries.  The US is a huge country composed of diverse cohorts of free people who are about as easy to control as herding cats.  We are undoubtedly the most mobile folks on the planet, continually darting across our big land this way and that.  Somebody gets sick with an infectious disease, it won’t be long until others have the same malady in many different parts of the country.  Our R0 transmission rate is necessarily higher, and there is nothing that either party could do to reduce it other than tell lies.

And those lies are simply all that the Dems have to wave in the faces of voters this election season.  This is not to say that they have mistaken the intellectual acuity of our electorate.  But I will say that the ‘mishandling C19’ ruse has successfully camouflaged their true aim to make America into a world-class socialist autocracy.  With the Democrats' taxing and regulatory burdens on us increasing by the year, we are witnessing up close and personal the truth of Jefferson’s ‘a nation ignorant and free, that never was and never shall be.’

To sum up last night’s VP debate, I think everyone out of the Left’s hard core camp saw Harris as the slimly and snarky scumbag that she is – the evening did not bode well for her.  But is it enough to move the needle, even though one of them may well be our president before the next four years are up?  That is hard to tell.  Mollie Hemingway of The Federalist has more here.

President Trump has responded to next week’s second presidential debate being conducted virtually.  His opening salvo is that he won’t participate under those conditions.  There appears to be no reason for changing the second debate to an online version since “people infected with Covid-19 can stop isolating 10 days after the onset of symptoms, as long as they haven’t had a fever in 24 hours and their other symptoms are improving, according to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines.”  And the WH reports that the president is symptom-free and has already started developing C19 resistant antibodies, all of which strongly indicate that not only will he not be contagious at a town hall debate, but that he will also be immune to further infection.

I’m not sure what kinds of thinking has gone into the decision not to participate.  It seems to me that in the virtual debate Bumblebrain will have all kinds of opportunity to give the long-winded answers that usually reveal his mental acuity and perhaps even his party’s embrace of BLM and Antifa’s neo-Marxism.  My recommendation would be for Trump to not miss an opportunity to go mano a mano with Biden. (more here)

Scattershots – 6oct20 (updated 9oct20)

George Rebane

Trump’s C19 infection and hospital visit is now providing the Democrats and their lamestream lackeys their latest ration of rage.  Everyone of them with access to a mic or website is lambasting the president on why and how his encounter with the virus came about and was then dealt with.  In their eyes it was all wrong and laden with conspiracies.  Everything from when was the last negative test recorded, to super-spreading WH events, to how sick did the president really get, to the Walter Reed physicians are lying or at least prevaricating about his current condition, to … , and even that he took his mask off too soon when he stood on the WH balcony after returning home.  If we didn’t have so many double dummies registered to vote, the whole exercise by the Left would be patently silly, but unfortunately that is not the case.

Fake drivers licenses from China as reported (here) by FN – “In the first six months of 2020, Customs and Border Protection officers seized nearly 20,000 counterfeit U.S. driver’s licenses at Chicago’s O’Hare airport alone, according to a report.  The 19,888 licenses and other fake documents were included in 1,513 overseas shipments, mostly from China and Hong Kong, CBP said, according to FOX 5 in New York City. Others were from South Korea and Britain.  Ralph Piccirilli, CBP’s acting area port director in Chicago, called the counterfeits (made mostly for people in their twenties) ‘very realistic.’”  The add-on to this report is that the names on the licenses are phony, and yet all are registered to vote as Democrats.  For some odd reason, this news is not reported on MSNBC or CNN.  [7oct20 - According to a number of news and fact-checking outlets, the names are indeed phony, but there is no substantiating evidence that those phony names are registered to vote.]

'Polling Phollies' was a piece I posted on 4 September 2016 in the throes of the last election season.  It bears reading again in light of the feverish debate we are once more engaged in our Sandboxes.  From this commentary you can download a paper I wrote to clarify the error bounds on poll results.  The overlap of these error bounds are especially relevant when the polls return two-candidate results near the midpoint or 50-50 ratios.  For those who can understand the material, it should really take a lot of steam out of the results constantly reported and debated in the current comment streams.  But I think those comments may satisfy a different purpose than enlightening their readers.

[7oct20 update]  ‘Schools Tackle Racism’  Evanston, IL racist school superintendent Devon Horton is giving a dose of “equity for Black and brown students, for special education students, for our LGBTQ students”, by letting them have first dibs on limited classroom seating.  The rest can attend online.  He’s doing this because “a disproportionate number of Black and Latino students are struggling in school and it is that struggle—not their race—which will get them priority.”  Such an assessment, on its face, is both racist and false.  In Evanston schools these minority students have received the same educational advantages as everyone else.  They are doing poorly only because they are NOT “struggling” as so many minority students struggling to learn have successfully demonstrated across the country.  Horton’s racist claim is that these students need special dispensation because they have a learning deficit apparently due to their skin color or sexual preference (special education kids are a different story).  Upon closer examination, it is again culture that determines kids’ - minority or otherwise - attitude toward education and learning, racist school policies will not. (more here and here)

What is a nation?  Samuel Stone of the Charlemagne Institute takes a good cut at an answer (here) that more than less ties with what I have proposed in Rebane Doctrine.  Stone starts by correctly positing that ‘nation’ is one of the words that today has lost its meaning; not that people can’t point and say ‘that’s a nation’, but because they can’t give it a literal definition.  One of the main determinants that a nation must have is a defined territory with secured borders within which its state (i.e. government) is sovereign.  He then goes on to cite our Founders and their political philosophers about the shared traits of a people which comprise, occupy, and own the nation – traits like a common history, values, beliefs, traditions, language, … .  And under it all is a foundation of justice as “the end of government” (Federalist 51).  However, that view of justice must be held in common by the citizens of a nation; multiple or polarized views of justice in a land cannot hold it together.  In our scripture (Mark 3:25, et al) Jesus said it best, “If a house is divided against itself, it cannot stand.”

[9oct20 update]  Today’s Nevada County’s Covid count is reported by the crack journalists at The Union.  From its front page we learn that there have been 20,735 recorded cases of the infection this year, with 18 cases currently active.  Two of these remain hospitalized, with the C19 body count that now stands at eight.  These numbers are mainly worthless, save the number who have died.  Presumably, the dead were correctly diagnosed and counted.  But given the real nature of the disease, and its wholesale misrepresentation that has led to an historical international panic, the recorded and currently active cases are totally unreliable, therefore meaningless.  The number hospitalized speaks only to the misunderstanding by local health officials about susceptibility to and the virality of this latest form of a corona virus, and their consequential draconian measures against our local businesses.  Bottom line, there is even less there to worry about C19 than meets the eye.  More on this later.

‘I want Trump to die’

Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men? Da Shadow do!

George Rebane

That wish by the president’s opponents and enemies has been reported numerous times since he tested positive for Covid-19 and was admitted to Walter Reed.  Many commentators, led by Tucker Carlson of FN, immediately reacted to such remarks with condemnation, citing moral strictures and other value statements, supposedly both communal and personal.  The bottom line was that all such wishes were evil in and of themselves, and most likely those who expressed them were also evil persons.

However, there is another perspective to be had on such statements from the Left.  A correspondent and RR reader questioned the automatic attribution of ‘evil’ to both the wish itself, and more strongly to the wishers.  The argument offered is based on how a nation’s military is motivated and trained to kill when its members carry out the legitimate orders of its government.  In the combat arms branch of every military service, the fighter is motivated to kill by being told that the enemy wishes to destroy his country and everything that is dear to him should that enemy prevail.  Therefore, to prevent this, the fighter is taught to fight and kill the designated enemy.  And during this process there is no moral deficit that is attached to such killings.  On the contrary, this kind of killing is celebrated, and the bravest and most successful killers are recognized, congratulated, often decorated, and always appreciated for carrying out a task of great and unquestioned benefit to the fighter’s society – nation, way of life, culture, … - in short, the fighter is a defender of all that is good, and a patriot of high order.

Upon deeper examination, the rationale for such justified killings and sentiments that promote your enemy’s death is that the enemy’s survival endangers the survival of things that you value (starting with your own life), hold dear, and the succor of the environment in which you and yours want to live.  When your hopes or actions are motivated by such beliefs, then such hopes and actions are not attributed to be evil.

Now stepping back to a peacetime political environment; if a group of people sharing an ideology and worldview which holds that the ascendancy/survival of a politician will result in a disaster for their country and its citizens, a disaster that will give rise to uncounted subsequent deaths of innocents through tyrannical and/or negligent public policies, then is it evil to hope for the early and imminent demise of the so-identified dastardly political leader?  From that group’s perspective such a hope is socially just and a responsible sentiment.  For all of them see a benefit to the nation’s common good were that politician to die.

A counter argument might be that only governments can be morally justified in wanting, preparing for, and carrying out the death(s) of its enemies (individuals, armies, cities).  But such sentiments, let alone acts, are denied, nay proscribed, to smaller groups or to individuals no matter their strong beliefs about dire consequences.  Killings by appropriately sized collectives are then seen to rise unblemished above the moral boundaries that contain and restrict lesser cohorts and individuals.

So what are we to make of those who wish President Trump dead?

America’s Economic Recovery Narrative

George Rebane

The Dems are trying to bolster their Big Lie about Trump’s disastrous economy by pointing out that growth measures are slowing down.  (For you techies this is appealing to earliest derivative of a function that makes your case; in this case it’s the second derivative of, say, job creation or GDP, since the first derivative is still positive.)  For the nation’s innumerates, citing such data may well make a cynical impact that serves to detract from Trump’s luster, because most such folks have no means to understand what’s happening or scope out the real nature of the Big Lie.

The anti-Trumpers are communicating that since the cited growth metric is slowing down, the economic recovery is not going to happen, and therefore it illustrates another failure of the Trump administration.  What the masses miss is that we are witnessing a natural progression that describes countless dynamic processes native to our universe, economic recoveries being among them.

All complex processes that transit from one level to another higher (or lower) one start their journey slowly, then pick up speed until they reach about the mid-point of their destination level.  After that they start slowing down and decreasing their growth rate until the metric levels off and the recovery is over.  When plotted, such a process traces out a curve (function) called a ‘sigmoid’ which I’ve drawn in Figure 1 below.

In the figure we see a typical sigmoid representing the growth of some metric like employment or consumer confidence during a recovery.  It starts off slowly, reaches its maximum growth rate around time t_A at level A which is about half way to its destination level B.  At t_A the growth curve starts bending down (the second derivative turns negative) while still growing, until it flares out at level B.  This traces out a typical sigmoid of natural growth.  A similar sigmoid may represent a decreasing metric - say, unemployment rate (here) – that starts out high and then decreases while picking up speed, and again flaring out at the bottom near an unemployment rate that results at what is known as the ‘full employment’ level.  

For those wanting a closer look at sigmoids and their role in describing Covid pandemic processes, I refer you to my post on the topic, ‘Sigfor: A Data Driven Pandemic Response Policy Evaluation Tool’.

The alternative to the sigmoid that comprises the Dems’ Big Lie here is that they are telling their constituent naïfs that a recovery looks like what is shown in Figure 2 above.  Here we see the recovery rate curving ever upwards and increasing its pace until it hits its destination ‘recovered’ level and slams to a halt right then and there (technically a ‘hard limit’).  No real process behaves like that.  They all slow down before reaching their ‘saturation level’.  But a factual explanation like that does not serve the Left’s national narrative, so the Big Lie continues to be broadcast day in and day out during these weeks before the election.

Another of the many ways the Dems are misleading the American public is lying to them that we know how C19 behaves, and therefore we know how to respond correctly to the pandemic – a response about which they remain silent.  The truth is, as witnessed by the president’s C19 diagnosis and treatment now transferred to the Walter Reed Medical Center, that we are still learning.  The president is at Walter Reed because he is the nation’s high value patient and his response to the disease is still unknown.  Therefore, he needs to be within minutes of the treatments that the nation’s best clinicians can administer as they are already giving him drugs that have yet to clear Phase 2 testing.  The risk related probabilities dictate that he should be given this treatment before it even enters Phase 3 trials in order to provide him with the most effective response known to date.

The dastardly Democrats deny this truth, and continue to tell their dimwit constituents a story about Covid response possibilities that is pure fantasy and fiction.  They do not care about how many additional lives such perfidy will eventually cost, nor the impact it will have on our economic recovery and the livelihoods of millions of Americans.  The Democrats’ bet is that they and their lamestream lackeys will be able to successfully blame it all on President Trump.  That is the choice that we face in November.